Updated 10:51 p.m..
WASHINGTON — Democrats are on track to win control of the U.S. House of Representatives, the Clermont Guardian projects, with House Democratic Leader Hakeem Jeffries of New York positioned to be elected speaker when the new Congress convenes in January. Jeffries would be the first Black speaker of the House.
The Guardian made the call at 10:05 p.m., projecting that Democrats will clear the 218 seats needed for a majority once all the votes are counted. The projection rests on seats already called for Democrats plus races where the party is leading with most of the vote counted, according to unofficial results.
As of this report, 200 of the chamber’s 436 races have been called, according to unofficial results: 127 for Democrats and 73 for Republicans. That leaves 236 races still outstanding.
In those uncalled races, Democrats are leading in 69 and Republicans in 82, according to unofficial results.
Democrats have flipped six Republican-held seats so far, with no Republican gains, according to unofficial results.
Zach Dembo flipped Kentucky’s 6th District for Democrats, winning 52.7% to Ralph Alvarado’s 43.3%. Rebecca Bennett flipped New Jersey’s 7th District, defeating Republican incumbent Thomas Kean 58.4% to 40.2%. Jamie Ager flipped North Carolina’s 11th District, beating Jennifer Balkcom 56.8% to 41.6%.
Pennsylvania produced three of the night’s flips. Bob Brooks ousted Republican incumbent Ryan Mackenzie in the 7th District, 56.8% to 43.2%. Paige Cognetti unseated Republican incumbent Rob Bresnahan in the 8th District, 55.2% to 44.8%. And Janelle Stelson defeated Republican incumbent Scott Perry in the 10th District, 55.5% to 44.5%.
Several races remain too close to call based on the Guardian’s analysis of unofficial returns.
In Virginia’s 2nd District, Democrat Elaine Luria led Republican incumbent Jen Kiggans 51.4% to 46.4% with 83% of the vote counted. In Iowa’s 1st District, Democrat Christina Bohannan led Republican incumbent Mariannette Miller-Meeks 48.6% to 47.3% with just 31% counted. In Arizona’s 2nd District, Democrat Jonathan Nez led Republican incumbent Eli Crane 49.5% to 49.0% with 55% counted.
In South Carolina’s 1st District, Democrat Nancy Lacore led Republican Jenny Costa Honeycutt 49.3% to 49.0% with 92% of the vote counted. In Florida’s 9th District, Democratic incumbent Darren Soto led Republican Dan Green 50.2% to 49.8% with 99% counted, while in Florida’s 27th District, Republican incumbent Maria Elvira Salazar led Democrat Eliott Rodriguez 50.3% to 49.7%, also with 99% counted. In Montana’s 1st District, Democrat Sam Forstag held a narrow 48.3% to 48.2% edge over Republican Aaron Flint with only 13% of the vote counted.
Alaska, California, Florida, Hawaii, Idaho, Massachusetts, Minnesota, Nevada, Oregon, Texas, Utah and Washington remained without complete results.
Ohio’s 15-seat U.S. House delegation was also taking shape Tuesday night, according to unofficial results from the Ohio Secretary of State.
The Guardian has projected Democratic wins for Greg Landsman in the 1st District, Joyce Beatty in the 3rd District, Shontel Brown in the 11th District and Emilia Sykes in the 13th District. Republicans David Taylor, Jim Jordan, Bob Latta, Michael Rulli, Troy Balderson and David Joyce were projected winners in the 2nd, 4th, 5th, 6th, 12th and 14th districts, respectively.
Five Ohio races remained too close to call. Democrat Brian Poindexter led Republican incumbent Max Miller 54.0% to 46.0% in the 7th District with 65% counted. Republican incumbent Warren Davidson led Democrat Vanessa Enoch 52.0% to 48.0% in the 8th District. Republican Derek Merrin led longtime Democratic incumbent Marcy Kaptur 59.3% to 40.7% in the 9th District with just 47% counted. Democrat Kristina Knickerbocker led Republican incumbent Mike Turner 49.5% to 47.5% in the 10th District, and Democrat Don Leonard led Republican incumbent Mike Carey 51.8% to 45.4% in the 15th District.
Live, county-by-county results can be found at https://clermontguardian.com/national-election-results-2026/.
Results are unofficial until certified by the Ohio Secretary of State. Source: Ohio Secretary of State election night reporting. See the live map: https://clermontguardian.com/election-results-2026/